Bolton will be eyeing a Premier League scalp on Sunday, and it would not be a huge shock if they were able to pick up the victory. Luton have caused a number of big teams problems at home this season, though, and we are expecting the Hatters to secure their spot in the fourth round courtesy of a narrow success.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
0) 
-0) 
