Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.