Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.