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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 25.26% ( | 24.42% ( | 50.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.92% ( | 48.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% ( | 70.25% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( | 33.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( | 69.96% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( | 19.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.24% ( | 50.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 3-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.26% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.99% ( 2-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.32% |