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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 31.71% ( | 23.49% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( | 39.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( | 62.07% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( | 24.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.07% ( | 58.93% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( | 18.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( | 48.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 1-0 @ 6.22% ( 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.71% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 44.8% |