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Cambridge United
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town
Cambridge
4 - 0
Fleetwood
Andrew (7'), Kachunga (11'), Okenabirhie (13'), Ahadme (83')
Okedina (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Stockley (65')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Neither team head into this game in strong form whatsoever, with both sides appearing to be set for relegation battles in League One. Cambridge will have no permanent manager in charge for this match after sacking Bonner, so could be a little disjointed. As such, we can envisage a draw between two evenly matched outfits, which would give Fleetwood the advantage to progress to the third round with a home replay to come. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.88% (-0.117 -0.12) 25.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.78% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.47% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (0.045000000000002 0.05)47.28% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (0.041 0.04)69.5% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)24% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)58.25% (0.061 0.06)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.091999999999999 0.09)25.69% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.128 0.13)60.61% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 38.88%
    Fleetwood Town 35.78%
    Draw 25.33%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.88%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 35.78%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Fleetwood
0-2
Cambridge

Robertson (14'), Brown (15'), Mayor (26'), Vela (30')
Digby (31'), Ahadme (59')
Brophy (28'), Digby (30'), Lankester (73')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cambridge
2-1
Fleetwood
Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Quitirna (82')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Cambridge
2-2
Fleetwood
May (35'), Tracey (51')
Digby (30')
Hill (2'), Lane (76')
rhs 2.0
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