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Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cambridge United

Northampton
2 - 1
Cambridge

Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
50.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)25.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)21.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 50.49%
    Cambridge United 23.68%
    Draw 25.82%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Cambridge
Okenabirhie (68', 77')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Northampton
2-0
Cambridge
Smith (26'), Taft (45' og.)
Hoskins (45'), McCormack (51')

Lambe (45')