League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Northampton

Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Northampton Town
45.73% ( -0.42)	24.73% ( -0.01)	29.53% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 56.29% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47% (

0.27)

46.53% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.19% (

0.25)

68.8% (

-0.25)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58% (

-0.07)

20.42% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.14% (

-0.11)

52.86% (

0.11)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

0.43)

29.27% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

0.53)

65.22% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 45.73%

Northampton Town 29.53%

Draw 24.73%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.73%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.53%