League One Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Memorial Stadium
Northampton
  • Chris Martin 10' goal
  • Joshua Grant 12' yellowcard
  • Antony Evans 18' yellowcard
  • Antony Evans 30' goal
  • Chris Martin 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchell Pinnock 54'
  • goal Emmanuel Monthe 57'

Bristol Rovers vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers 1 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Chris Martin

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Northampton 2 - 2 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.

Result

Bristol Rovers 45.73% ▼ (-0.42)
Draw 24.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Northampton Town 29.53% ▲ (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.29% ▲ (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.47% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 46.53% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 31.19% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 3.5 68.8% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 15.5% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 84.5% ▼ (-0.18)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 79.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 20.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 47.14% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 52.86% ▲ (+0.12)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.73% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 0.5 29.27% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 1.5 34.77% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 65.22% ▼ (-0.54)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 45.73%
Draw 24.73%
Northampton Town 29.53%
Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 29.53%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 38
Northampton
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Bristol Rovers
  • Aaron McGowan 61' yellowcard
  • Paul Lewis 71' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Pinnock 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Anderson 1'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 68'
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 75'
  • yellowcard James Connolly 81'
  • yellowcard Connor Taylor 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
Nov 13, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Northampton
  • Glenn Whelan 12' yellowcard
  • Cian Harries 49' yellowcard
  • Joshua Grant 54' goal
  • Antony Evans 59' goal
  • Glenn Whelan 67' redcard
  • Harry Anderson 74' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Hoskins 39'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 74'
  • yellowcard Liam Roberts 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 41
Northampton
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
Bristol Rovers
  • Bryn Morris 44' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 78' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Leahy 19'
League One Gameweek 4
Bristol Rovers
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
Northampton
  • Joshua Grant 23' yellowcard
  • Brandon Hanlan 56' goal
  • Jack Baldwin 79' goal
  • yellowcard Luka Racic 11'
  • yellowcard Joe Martin 35'
  • redcard Joe Martin 60'
  • yellowcard Ryan Watson 82'
  • yellowcard Cian Bolger 90'+4'
EFL Trophy
Northampton
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
Bristol Rovers
  • Matt Crooks 45' yellowcard
  • Matt Crooks 76' goal
  • Sam Foley 93' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Broadbent 45'
  • goal Stefan Payne 59'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 90'
League One
Bristol Rovers
Mar 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Northampton
  • Kyle Bennett 34' goal
  • Stuart Sinclair 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Long 22'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 30'
  • goal Kevin Luckassen 62'
  • redcard Matt Crooks 74'
  • yellowcard Hildeberto Pereira 83'

Form Data

Bristol Rovers 1 - 1 Stevenage
Burton Albion 4 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers 3 - 0 Port Vale
Peterborough 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers 4 - 1 Wigan
Northampton 2 - 2 Leyton Orient
Bolton 2 - 1 Northampton
Shrewsbury 1 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 3 - 1 Reading
Exeter 0 - 2 Northampton
Northampton 2 - 2 Chelsea U21s