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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 33.28% | 27.58% ( | 39.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.1% ( | 56.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( | 77.82% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( | 31.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% ( | 68.41% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( | 28.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% ( | 64.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.14% |