League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Finley Stevens 17' goal
  • Ciaron Brown 59' goal
  • Gregory Leigh 71' yellowcard
  • Tyler Goodrham 80' yellowcard
  • Josh McEachran 88' yellowcard
  • Gregory Leigh 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Anderson 47'
  • redcard Joe Anderson 58'

Oxford United vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 3 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 0 Charlton
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Daniel Udoh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 59.08% (-1.16)
Draw 22.6% (+0.39)
Shrewsbury Town 18.32% (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.11% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.57% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 48.42% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 29.44% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 70.56% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 14.29% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 85.71% (+0.26)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 83.96% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 16.04% (+0.53)
Over 1.5 54.6% (-0.98)
Under 1.5 45.4% (+0.97)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.69% (+0.66)
Under 0.5 40.31% (-0.66)
Over 1.5 23.06% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 76.94% (-0.60)

Score analysis

Oxford United 59.06%
Draw 22.6%
Shrewsbury Town 18.32%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.83% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 59.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.47% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.6%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 5.88% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 4.88% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 2.67% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 1.48% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • goal Ryan Bowman 74'
League One Gameweek 8
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Matthew Pennington 65' goal
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 15'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ryan Bowman 60' goal
  • Matthew Pennington 82' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Taylor 11'
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 82'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mark Sykes 46' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 88' goal
League One Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Matthew Pennington 16' goal
  • Josh Vela 25' goal
  • Brad Walker 62' yellowcard
  • goal Elliot Lee 3'
  • goal James Henry 68'
  • goal Dan Agyei 85'
  • yellowcard Dan Agyei 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 23
Apr 13, 2021 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Rob Atkinson 13' goal
  • Elliot Lee 36' goal
  • Matt Taylor 66' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 74' yellowcard
  • Sam Long 77' goal
  • goal Harry Chapman 51'
  • yellowcard Josh Vela 64'
  • yellowcard Oliver Norburn 74'