League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Stevens (17'), Brown (59'), Leigh (90+6')
Leigh (71'), Goodrham (80'), McEachran (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Anderson (47')
Anderson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
59.08% ( -1.15)	22.6% ( 0.38)	18.32% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 50.11% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57% (

-0.42)

48.42% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

-0.38)

70.56% (

0.38)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96% (

-0.53)

16.04% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.6% (

-0.97)

45.4% (

0.97)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.69% (

0.65)

40.31% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.06% (

0.59)

76.94% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 59.06%

Shrewsbury Town 18.32%

Draw 22.6%

Oxford United	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.12% Total : 59.06%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.32%