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Championship header 2

League One

Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Oxford United

Stevenage
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Reid (15')
Butler (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leigh (23', 55'), Moore (82')
Moore (45+4'), Beadle (90+5')
Coverage of the League One clash between Stevenage and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawOxford United
43.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)26.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)53.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.012 -0.01)75.18% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.56% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)59.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (-0.02 -0.02)69.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 43.38%
    Oxford United 30.1%
    Draw 26.51%
StevenageDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.38%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.1%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Stevenage
Agyei (11')
Henry (62')
Reid (75'), Norris (90')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
-
Stevenage
2-6
Oxford Utd
Beautyman (19'), Samuel (82')
Conlon (49')
Henry (30'), Hall (43', 52'), Obika (50'), Rothwell (55'), Payne (64')
Xemi (53')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Stevenage
Sercombe (56')
MacDonald (46')
Lundstram (16')
Harrison (69')
Parrett (28'), Jones (45'), Pritchard (95')
Oct 31, 2015 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Oxford Utd
Whelpdale (17')
McCombe (27'), Tonge (68')
Taylor (13', 72'), Serecombe (27' pen.), MacDonald (66'), Roofe (75')
MacDonald (44'), Dunkley (45')
Jan 31, 2015 3pm
Stevenage
0-2
Oxford Utd

Beardsley (81')
Mullins (59'), O'Dowda (68')
Mullins (81'), Hoban (81')