AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Reading logo

Northampton
3 - 1
Reading

Hoskins (10'), Appere (37'), Pinnock (90+6')
McWilliams (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ballard (66')
Savage (11'), Ehibhaimha (15'), Mola (78')
Yiadom (90+1'), Mola (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 43%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawReading
43% (0.00099999999999767 0)25.33% (0.142 0.14)31.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.525 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (-0.657 -0.66)48.2% (0.666 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (-0.605 -0.61)70.35% (0.61200000000001 0.61)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (-0.279 -0.28)22.36% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16% (-0.423 -0.42)55.85% (0.43 0.43)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-0.414 -0.41)28.66% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (-0.523 -0.52)64.48% (0.52999999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 43%
    Reading 31.67%
    Draw 25.33%
Northampton TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.181 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.67%