League One
Gameweek
11
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frealog.png)
-
Sam Hoskins
10'
-
Louis Appere
37'
-
Shaun McWilliams
80'
-
Mitchell Pinnock
90'+6'
-
Charlie Savage
11'
-
Kelvin Ehibhaimha
15'
-
Dominic Ballard
66'
-
Clinton Mola
78'
-
Andy Yiadom
90'+1'
-
Clinton Mola
90'+8'
Northampton Town vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Fjon-brady.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 43%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result
Northampton Town
43%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
25.33%
▲
(+0.15)
Reading
31.67%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
55.39%
▼
(-0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.8%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 2.5
48.2%
▲
(+0.67)
Over 3.5
29.65%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 3.5
70.35%
▲
(+0.62)
Over 4.5
14.43%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 4.5
85.57%
▲
(+0.43)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5
77.65%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 0.5
22.36%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
44.16%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
55.85%
▲
(+0.43)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5
71.34%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
28.66%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 1.5
35.53%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
64.48%
▲
(+0.53)
Score analysis
Northampton Town
43%
Draw
25.33%
Reading
31.67%
Northampton Town
1-0
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43%
2-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43%
Draw
1-1
@
11.99%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
Reading
0-1
@
8.01%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 31.67%
1-2 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 31.67%