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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 20.16% ( | 23.78% ( | 56.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( | 50.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( | 72.6% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.41% ( | 39.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.73% ( | 76.27% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( | 17.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.26% ( | 48.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 2-0 @ 3.05% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.16% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 12.19% 0-2 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0-3 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.42% Total : 56.04% |