League One

League One | Gameweek 2

Sep 19, 2020 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Northampton

Whalley (54')
High (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marshall (12'), Hoskins (65')
Missilou (60'), Warburton (83')

Coverage of the League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Northampton Town
32.15%	25.95%	41.9%

Both teams to score 53.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.31%

50.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.41%

72.59%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42%

29.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39%

65.62%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02%

23.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79%

58.21%

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 32.15%

Northampton Town 41.89%

Draw 25.95%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.15%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.89%