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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 38.41% ( | 27.08% ( | 34.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% ( | 54.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% ( | 76.1% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( | 27.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( | 63.29% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( | 30.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( | 66.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.41% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.5% |