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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Leyton Orient

Northampton
2 - 2
Leyton Orient

Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
38.41% (-0.604 -0.6)27.08% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)34.51% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (0.258 0.26)54.79% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (0.212 0.21)76.1% (-0.215 -0.22)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)27.72% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.286 -0.29)63.29% (0.281 0.28)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.545 0.55)30.08% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.651 0.65)66.22% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.41%
    Leyton Orient 34.5%
    Draw 27.08%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.5%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Leyton Orient
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (41')

Kyprianou (52'), Wood (90')
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Leyton Orient
1-1
Northampton
Wright (85' pen.)
Cisse (45')
Dayton (89')
Watson (43')
Goode (35'), Anderson (59'), Cornell (76'), Martin (95')
Wharton (88')