League One Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • goal Ruel Sotiriou 21'
  • yellowcard Jordan Brown 38'
  • yellowcard Ed Turns 75'
  • yellowcard Idris El Mizouni 90'+3'

Carlisle United vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Bolton 1 - 3 Carlisle
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 2 - 1 Reading
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joe Pigott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result

Carlisle United 39.12% (-0.08)
Draw 27.47% (-0.02)
Leyton Orient 33.41% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.13% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.53% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 56.48% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 22.53% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 77.48% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 9.83% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.18% (-0.04)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 71.88% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.12% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.2% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.8% (+0.02)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 68.35% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 31.65% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 31.94% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 68.06% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 39.12%
Draw 27.47%
Leyton Orient 33.41%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 39.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.47%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 10.24% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.41%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Breyer Group Stadium
  • Jon Mellish 73' goal
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Ryan Edmondson 15' goal
  • Jordan Gibson 56' goal
  • goal Theo Archibald 2'
  • goal Theo Archibald 17'
  • goal Aaron Drinan 50'
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Omar Beckles 10' yellowcard
  • Theo Archibald 48' yellowcard
  • Theo Archibald 50' redcard
  • goal Omari Patrick 5'
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 52'
  • yellowcard Joe Riley 58'
  • yellowcard Corey Whelan 70'
  • yellowcard Dynel Simeu 76'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tristan Abrahams 9' goal
  • yellowcard Jayden Sweeney 17'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Drinan 61'
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 65'
  • goal Harry Smith 74'
  • yellowcard Craig Clay 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Matchroom Stadium
  • Conor Wilkinson 3' goal
  • Dan Happe 18' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 45'+3' goal
  • Louis Dennis 62' yellowcard
  • Craig Clay 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Mellish 42'
  • goal Lewis Alessandra 54'
  • yellowcard Ethan Walker 80'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 89'
  • goal George Tanner 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 23
Mar 23, 2021 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • goal Conor Wilkinson 88'