League One Gameweek 12
Bolton
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Carlisle
  • Jon Mellish 28' goal
  • Jon Mellish 28' goal
  • Kyle Dempsey 35' yellowcard
  • Kyle Dempsey 35' yellowcard
  • Dion Charles 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 7'
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 7'
  • yellowcard Alfie McCalmont 38'
  • yellowcard Alfie McCalmont 38'
  • goal Jordan Gibson 44'
  • goal Jordan Gibson 44'
  • goal Jordan Gibson 70'
  • goal Jordan Gibson 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 90'+6'

Bolton Wanderers vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Bolton 3 - 2 Stevenage
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Carlisle 1 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 52.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.98%
Carlisle United 24.01% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.04%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 81.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.2% ▲ (+0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 65.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 52%
Draw 23.98%
Carlisle United 24.01%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.98%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 24.01%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 43
Bolton
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
Carlisle
  • Eoin Doyle 28' goal
  • Ricardo Santos 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 43'
  • yellowcard Joe Riley 56'
League Two Gameweek 20
Carlisle
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT Brunton Park
Bolton
  • Aaron Hayden 5' goal
  • Lewis Alessandra 7' goal
  • Joe Riley 24' yellowcard
  • Omari Patrick 36' goal
  • Rhys Bennett 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jon Mellish 48' yellowcard
  • Paul Farman 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gethin Jones 22'
  • goal George Thomason 44'
  • yellowcard Peter Kioso 50'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 81'
  • goal Nathan Delfouneso 86'
  • goal Peter Kioso 88'
  • redcard Peter Kioso 90'+4'

Form Data

Bolton 3 - 2 Stevenage
Port Vale 0 - 1 Bolton
Bolton 8 - 1 Man Utd U21s
Bolton 1 - 1 Peterborough
Reading 2 - 1 Bolton
Bolton 3 - 0 Salford City
Carlisle 1 - 1 Peterborough
Wycombe 2 - 0 Carlisle
Carlisle 0 - 2 Derby
Lincoln 1 - 1 Carlisle
Stevenage 2 - 2 Carlisle
Accrington 1 - 0 Carlisle