League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 3
Carlisle

Mellish (28' og., 28' og.)
Dempsey (35'), Dempsey (35'), Charles (82')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gibson (44' pen., 44' pen., 70', 90+5')
Lavelle (7'), Lavelle (7'), McCalmont (38'), McCalmont (38'), Armer (90+6')

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Carlisle United
52.01% ( -0)	23.98%	24.01% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.98% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64% (

-0)

47.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

-0)

69.58% (

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8% (

-0)

18.19% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.8% (

-0)

49.2% (

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

34.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31% (

70.69% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 52%

Carlisle United 24.01%

Draw 23.98%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.43% Total : 52%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.01%