League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 2
Stevenage

Charles (13' pen.), Iredale (49'), Sheehan (70')
Thomason (28'), Iredale (44'), Jerome (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Reid (20', 65' pen.)
Reid (68'), Sweeney (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Stevenage
39.33% ( 0.02)	25.86% ( -0.27)	34.81% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 54.55% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.31% (

1.18)

49.68% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3% (

1.05)

71.7% (

-1.05)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

0.55)

24.85% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

0.76)

59.44% (

-0.76)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.59% (

0.72)

27.4% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.12% (

0.92)

62.88% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 39.33%

Stevenage 34.81%

Draw 25.85%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.33%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.81%