League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 13' goal
  • George Thomason 28' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 44' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 49' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 70' goal
  • goal Jamie Reid 20'
  • goal Jamie Reid 65'
  • yellowcard Jamie Reid 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 69'

Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Port Vale 0 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 3 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 39.33% (+0.03)
Draw 25.86% (-0.27)
Stevenage 34.81% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.55% (+0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.31% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 49.68% (-1.19)
Over 3.5 28.3% (+1.05)
Under 3.5 71.7% (-1.05)
Over 4.5 13.51% (+0.70)
Under 4.5 86.49% (-0.70)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 75.15% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 24.85% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 40.55% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 59.44% (-0.76)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 72.59% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 27.4% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 37.12% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 62.88% (-0.93)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 39.33%
Draw 25.85%
Stevenage 34.81%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.97% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.38% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.53% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.43% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.81%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Declan John 7' goal
  • Jordan Williams 78' redcard
  • George Thomason 85' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Tom Pett 44' goal
  • Arthur Iontton 58' yellowcard
  • Tom Pett 62' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 14'
  • goal Ali Crawford 36'
  • yellowcard Andrew Tutte 54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 86'
  • yellowcard Antoni Sarcevic 90'