Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
8 - 1
Man Utd U21s

N'Lundulu (19', 48'), Sheehan (22', 38'), Jones (41'), Dadi Bodvarsson (64'), Khumbeni (74'), Matheson (84')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Forson (67')
Shoretire (63')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bolton Wanderers and Manchester United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Man Utd U21s 2-4 Arsenal U21s
Saturday, September 23 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 17.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawManchester United Under-21s
63.73% (0.009999999999998 0.01)18.71% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)17.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.27% (0.040000000000006 0.04)31.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.75% (0.048999999999999 0.05)53.25% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.012 0.01)9.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.09% (0.033000000000001 0.03)31.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (0.019000000000005 0.02)31.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)67.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 63.73%
    Manchester United Under-21s 17.56%
    Draw 18.71%
Bolton WanderersDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 63.73%
1-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.71%
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 17.56%

How you voted: Bolton vs Man Utd U21s

Bolton Wanderers
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Manchester United Under-21s
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Bolton
4-0
Man Utd U21s
Afolayan (68'), Morley (76'), Bakayoko (90+3'), Bradley (90+5')
> Preview