Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd U21s
1 - 2
Leeds U21s

McNeill (90+1')
Aljofree (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGurk (8'), Douglas (54')
Ferguson (37'), Douglas (88'), Christy (90'), Chilokoa-Mullen (90+8')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester United Under-21s and Leeds United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Palace U21s 3-2 Man Utd U21s
Monday, August 14 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Brighton U21s 2-4 Leeds U21s
Friday, August 11 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 0-1 (5.45%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.

Result
Manchester United Under-21sDrawLeeds United Under-21s
32.14% (1.283 1.28)21.67% (0.51 0.51)46.18% (-1.795 -1.8)
Both teams to score 68.97% (-1.261 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.47% (-1.908 -1.91)30.53% (1.909 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.17% (-2.317 -2.32)51.82% (2.317 2.32)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.264 -0.26)19.81% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (-0.43 -0.43)51.88% (0.428 0.43)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (-1.284 -1.28)13.99% (1.285 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.49% (-2.59 -2.59)41.51% (2.59 2.59)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Under-21s 32.14%
    Leeds United Under-21s 46.19%
    Draw 21.67%
Manchester United Under-21sDrawLeeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.318 0.32)
1-0 @ 4.49% (0.434 0.43)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.63% (0.323 0.32)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.159 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 8.83% (0.462 0.46)
2-2 @ 7.03% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.77% (0.288 0.29)
3-3 @ 2.49% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.327 0.33)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.61% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-4 @ 2.27% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-4 @ 1.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 46.19%