Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
 

Leeds U21s
3 - 1
Boro U21s

Lindo (45' og.), Gray (53'), Perkins (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Patterson-Powell (20')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Middlesbrough Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 1-1 Leeds U21s
Monday, April 17 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Boro U21s 0-1 Forest U21s
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
66.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)16.99% (-0.026 -0.03)16.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 67.17% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.09% (0.10299999999999 0.1)24.9% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.21% (0.136 0.14)44.79% (-0.139 -0.14)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.88% (0.033000000000001 0.03)7.12% (-0.0349 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.07% (0.090000000000003 0.09)25.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.055999999999997 0.06)27.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (0.070999999999998 0.07)63.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United Under-21s 66.41%
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 16.6%
    Draw 17%
Leeds United Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.14% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 3.3% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.72% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.75% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 66.41%
1-1 @ 6.69% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 17%
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.84%
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 16.6%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 11am
Boro U21s
2-4
Leeds U21s
Kavanagh (28'), Bilongo (79')
Robinson (29')
Fernandez (61', 76', 90+5'), McGurk (73')