Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Weaver Stadium

Stoke U21s
1 - 1
Leeds U21s

Redfern (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGurk (16')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Stoke City Under-21s and Leeds United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Saints U21s 2-0 Stoke U21s
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Leeds U21s 3-1 Sunderland U21s
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 61.47%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 20.09% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City Under-21sDrawLeeds United Under-21s
20.09% (0.168 0.17)18.45% (0.143 0.14)61.47% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 68.46% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.91% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)26.1% (0.461 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.66% (-0.581 -0.58)46.34% (0.594 0.59)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)25.24% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)59.99% (0.211 0.21)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.57% (-0.184 -0.18)8.44% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.71% (-0.473 -0.47)29.29% (0.488 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City Under-21s 20.09%
    Leeds United Under-21s 61.47%
    Draw 18.45%
Stoke City Under-21sDrawLeeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.99% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 2.93% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.02% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 20.09%
1-1 @ 7.25% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.13% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 7.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 5.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 3.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-5 @ 2.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-6 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 61.47%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 7pm
Leeds U21s
4-0
Stoke U21s
Fernandez (14', 19', 83'), Perkins (43')

Roney (53')