Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 61.47%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 20.09% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.