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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Bolton logo

Port Vale
0 - 1
Bolton


Iacovitti (3'), Balmer (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Charles (43')
Iredale (64'), Morley (68'), Sheehan (76')
Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 8-1 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawBolton Wanderers
28.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)25.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)45.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.055 0.05)51.79% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.55% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.042000000000002 0.04)32.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (0.046000000000003 0.05)68.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.89% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.030999999999999 0.03)56.64% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 28.97%
    Bolton Wanderers 45.12%
    Draw 25.91%
Port ValeDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.97%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.12%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bolton
2-1
Port Vale
Adeboyejo (18'), Sheehan (26')
Harrison (8')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Port Vale
0-0
Bolton
Forrester (45+2'), C (86')
Santos (10'), Williams (49')
Santos (37')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Bolton
3-2
Port Vale
Doyle (28'), Delfouneso (54'), Afolayan (77')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')
Conlon (35'), Amoo (43')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Port Vale
0-1
Bolton

Mills (70'), Legge (79')
Jones (63')
Gilks (89')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bolton
3-6
Port Vale
Jones (11'), Doyle (66')
Oyeleke (6'), Legge (9'), Conlon (42' pen.), Montano (46'), Rodney (46'), Worrall (50'), Smith (62')
Conlon (52')