EFL Cup
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Joshua Thomas 49' goal
  • Funso Ojo 83' goal
  • Ethan Chislett 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Angol 6'
  • yellowcard Joe Kizzi 32'
  • yellowcard Ben Goodliffe 56'
  • goal Hisham Kasimu 70'
  • yellowcard Aiden O'Brien 80'

Port Vale vs Sutton United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Sutton United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result

Port Vale 53.98% (+0.27)
Draw 24.17% (-0.10)
Sutton United 21.84% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.65% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 50.35% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 27.71% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 72.29% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 13.11% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 86.88% (-0.12)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 81.43% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 18.57% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 50.17% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 49.83% (-0.31)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 62.32% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 37.68% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 25.54% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 74.45% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Port Vale 53.98%
Draw 24.17%
Sutton United 21.84%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.92% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.43% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.34% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.17%
Sutton United
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.84%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • James Wilson 7' goal
  • Jamie Proctor 23' goal
  • Brad Walker 53' yellowcard
  • Jamie Proctor 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis John 66'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Robert Milsom 36' goal
  • Ben Garrity 69' goal
  • Will Randall 87' goal
  • Coby Rowe 90'+1' goal
  • Dean Bouzanis 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Smith 21'
  • goal Jamie Proctor 28'
  • yellowcard Nathan Smith 42'
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 47'
  • yellowcard David Worrall 67'
  • goal Tom Conlon 78'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jones 81'
  • yellowcard George Lloyd 90'