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Championship header 2

League Two

Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Sutton United

Accrington
4 - 1
Sutton

Leigh (45+1' pen., 57'), Longelo-Mbule (63'), Pritchard (90+5')
Andrews (10'), Longelo-Mbule (49'), Savin (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Patrick (64')
Bouzanis (45')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Mansfield
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 5-3 Sutton
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSutton United
39.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)25.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.68% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.076000000000001 0.08)49.5% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.069000000000003 0.07)71.53% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)59.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (0.092999999999989 0.09)27.51% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.119 0.12)63.02% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 39.71%
    Sutton United 34.49%
    Draw 25.8%
Accrington StanleyDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.49%