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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Mansfield Town

Accrington
0 - 3
Mansfield


Bagueloc'rich (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Keillor-Dunn (29'), Maris (35'), Lewis (75')
Maris (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMansfield Town
26.32% (-0.189 -0.19)23.86% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)49.82% (0.21400000000001 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.79% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)67.15% (0.047000000000011 0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)30.73% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.201 -0.2)66.98% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (0.066000000000003 0.07)18.06% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.03% (0.109 0.11)48.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 26.32%
    Mansfield Town 49.82%
    Draw 23.85%
Accrington StanleyDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.32%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.47% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.82%

How you voted: Accrington vs Mansfield

Accrington Stanley
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Mansfield Town
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
6-1
Accrington
Walker (9' pen., 13' pen., 45'), Khan (16'), Rose (66'), Hamilton (90')
Mellis (28'), Benning (41')
Finley (6')
Conneely (26'), Mingoia (29'), Platt (45')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Accrington
2-1
Mansfield
Jackson (10'), Kee (92')
Hughes (30')
Angol (25')
Pearce (90')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Mansfield
4-4
Accrington
Bennett (31'), White (45'), Coulthirst (64'), Arquin (89')
MacDonald (27'), Byrom (42'), Bennett (51'), Collins (85')
Beckles (5'), McCartan (28'), Kee (43', 66')
McCartan (18'), Donacien (22'), Pearson (33'), Beckles (61'), Conneelly (62'), Kee (80')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Accrington
1-1
Mansfield
Gornell (56')
Lacey (74'), Kee (90')
Clements (31')
Hurst (56')