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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 39.6% ( | 25.83% ( | 34.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( | 49.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( | 71.65% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( | 24.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% ( | 59.21% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( | 27.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( | 63.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 4% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.56% |