League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
5
3
HT : 3 2
FT County Ground
  • Jake Young 5' goal
  • Jake Cain 16' goal
  • Jake Young 23' goal
  • Dan Kemp 65' goal
  • Udoka Godwin-Malife 85' yellowcard
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 87' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Gray 0'
  • goal Craig Clay 34'
  • goal Ben Goodliffe 39'
  • yellowcard Rob Milsom 74'
  • goal Harry Smith 77'
  • yellowcard Ben Goodliffe 90'+7'

Swindon Town vs Sutton United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
Doncaster 0 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jake Young

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
Sutton 0 - 1 Forest Green
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Harry Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 46.65% (+0.02)
Draw 24.96% (-0.01)
Sutton United 28.39% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.78% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.83% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 48.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 29.68% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.32% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.45% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.55% (-0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.31% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.69% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.71% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.29% (-0.02)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 69.07% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.93% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.78% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.22% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 46.64%
Draw 24.96%
Sutton United 28.39%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.89% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.96%
Sutton United
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.39%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Lee Angol 85' goal
  • Alistair Smith 88' goal
  • goal Charlie Austin 14'
League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Tyrese Shade 35' goal
  • Jonny Williams 38' goal
  • Jacob Wakeling 90'+2' goal
  • goal Will Randall 4'
  • goal Will Randall 42'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Josh Davison 14' goal
  • Louis Reed 35' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 49' goal
  • Ellis Iandolo 63' yellowcard
  • Josh Davison 70' yellowcard
  • Louis Reed 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Joe Kizzi 28'
  • yellowcard Enzio Boldewijn 49'
  • yellowcard Coby Rowe 85'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Louis John 24' yellowcard
  • Harry Beautyman 39' goal
  • Omar Bugiel 60' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Barden 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Reed 17'
  • goal Jonny Williams 31'
  • yellowcard Harry McKirdy 87'
  • yellowcard Romoney Crichlow 90'+1'