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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 24.71% ( | 24.39% ( | 50.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( | 48.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( | 70.58% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( | 33.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( | 70.67% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( | 19.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% ( | 50.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0-3 @ 4.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.9% |