League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
1 - 2
Doncaster

Hope (73')
Conroy (64'), Thompson (66'), Curran (76')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Okenabirhie (5', 45+1')
Okenabirhie (33'), Simoes (52'), Butler (71'), James (85'), Greaves (90+5')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
28.96%	26.03%	45.01%

Both teams to score 51.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73%

52.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03%

73.97%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37%

32.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82%

69.18%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85%

23.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97%

57.03%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 28.96%

Doncaster Rovers 45%

Draw 26.02%

Swindon Town	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.96%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.02% Total : 45%

League One

Swindon1 - 2Doncaster

Data Analysis

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Swindon
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