Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.69%).