Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.69%).

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
56.81% ( 0.98)	21.62% ( -0.13)	21.56% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 58.77% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.46% (

-0.45)

39.53% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.12% (

-0.48)

61.88% (

0.47)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

0.15)

13.77% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.93% (

0.3)

41.07% (

-0.31)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

-1.01)

31.84% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71% (

-1.17)

68.28% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 56.81%

Aston Villa Under-21s 21.56%

Draw 21.62%

Sutton United	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.81%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 21.56%