Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Forest U21s
4 - 3
Aston Villa U21s

Taylor (30'), Powell (55'), Perry (67'), Mighten (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Young (35', 59'), Young (45+8')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Nottingham Forest Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Boro U21s 0-1 Forest U21s
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
41.5% (0.227 0.23)22.03% (0.053000000000001 0.05)36.47% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Both teams to score 69.07% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.03% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)30.96% (0.318 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.65% (-0.379 -0.38)52.34% (0.379 0.38)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)15.84% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)45.03% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.268 -0.27)17.93% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25% (-0.463 -0.46)48.74% (0.462 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 41.5%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 36.47%
    Draw 22.03%
Nottingham Forest Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.23% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 7.12% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.47%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 7pm
Aston Villa U21s
1-1
Forest U21s
O'Reilly (71')
Salmon (89')
McDonnell (13')
rhs 2.0


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