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Ben Broggio
4'
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Kobei Moore
7'
-
Rico Richards
20'
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Finley Munroe
40'
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Finley Munroe
57'
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Teddy Rowe
60'
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Kerr Smith
78'
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Alex Gibson-Hammond
10'
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Dajaune Brown
32'
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Bradley Johnson
36'
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Henry Jeffcott
67'
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J. C. Lindsay
88'
-
Jason Lindsay
88'
Aston Villa Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.07)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 55.06%
2-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.68%
0-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 24.26%
Head to Head
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Chisom Afoka
52'
-
Josh Feeney
65'
-
Chisom Afoka
69'
-
Chisom Afoka
11'
-
Declan Firth
63'