Premier League 2 - Div 1

Sep 1, 2023 at 6pm UK

Bodymoor Heath Training Ground

Aston Villa U21s
3 - 1
Derby U21s

Broggio (4'), Moore (7'), Richards (20')
Munroe (40'), Rowe (60'), Smith (78')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Brown (32')
Gibson-Hammond (10'), Johnson (36'), Jeffcott (67'), C. Lindsay (88'), Lindsay (88')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Man City U21s 4-4 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, August 25 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Derby U21s 0-2 Spurs U21s
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
55.06% ( 0.78)	20.68% ( -0.22)	24.26% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 65.99% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.29% (

0.46)

31.71% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.78% (

0.54)

53.22% (

-0.54)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

0.37)

11.71% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.17% (

0.78)

36.83% (

-0.78)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

-0.15)

25.26% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

-0.21)

60.01% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 55.06%

Derby County Under-21s 24.26%

Draw 20.68%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.68%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.26%