Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 91.16%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 2.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.62%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.88%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
2.58% ( -0.17)	6.25% ( -0.63)	91.16% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 44.15% (

2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.06% (

2.95)

18.94% (

-2.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.43% (

4.17)

36.57% (

-4.17)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.2% (

1.98)

54.8% (

-1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.24% (

1.15)

87.76% (

-1.15)

Liverpool Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.68% (

0.5)

2.32% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.94% (

1.81)

11.06% (

-1.81)

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-21s 2.58%

Liverpool Under-21s 91.15%

Draw 6.25%

Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
Other @ 2.58% Total : 2.58%	1-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.47% Total : 6.25%	0-3 @ 11.29% ( -0.83) 0-4 @ 10.62% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( -1.17) 0-5 @ 8% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 6.39% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.35) 0-6 @ 5.02% ( 0.42) 1-5 @ 4.81% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.92) 1-6 @ 3.02% ( 0.42) 0-7 @ 2.7% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.19) 1-7 @ 1.62% ( 0.3) 2-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.21) 0-8 @ 1.27% ( 0.22) 2-6 @ 0.91% ( 0.17) Other @ 4.09% Total : 91.15%