Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 61.3%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 19.86% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.37%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s
19.86% ( 0.46)	18.84% ( 0.16)	61.3% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 66.47% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.59% (

-0.03)

28.4% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.76% (

-0.04)

49.24% (

0.05)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

0.39)

26.85% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

0.51)

62.16% (

-0.5)

Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.87% (

-0.14)

9.13% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.01% (

-0.35)

30.99% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-21s 19.86%

Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s 61.3%

Draw 18.84%

Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.63% Total : 19.86%	1-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.48% Total : 18.84%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.37% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.41% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.33% Total : 61.3%