Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium

Saints U21s
4 - 2
Aston Villa U21s

Ballard (20' pen., 34', 39'), Obling (90+3')
Obling (46'), Meghoma (88')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Kellyman (26', 36')
O'Reilly (18'), Feeney (19'), Patterson (83')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 5-3 Saints U21s
Sunday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 0-3 WBA U21s
Friday, August 11 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
49.66% (0.815 0.81)21.31% (-0.235 -0.23)29.03% (-0.583 -0.58)
Both teams to score 68.36% (0.464 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.46% (0.773 0.77)30.54% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.16% (0.919 0.92)51.84% (-0.923 -0.92)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (0.53 0.53)12.88% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (1.079 1.08)39.29% (-1.082 -1.08)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.055000000000007 0.06)21.52% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (0.082000000000001 0.08)54.59% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 49.66%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 29.03%
    Draw 21.31%
Southampton Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.112 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.69% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.4% (0.095 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.074 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.073 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.23% (0.051 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49.66%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 6.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.4% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.03%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 6pm
Aston Villa U21s
1-2
Saints U21s
Revan (83' pen.)
Robinson (44', 51')
Oct 8, 2022 12pm
Saints U21s
2-0
Aston Villa U21s
Doyle (12'), Pearce (36')