Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 18, 2023 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 2
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Dominic Ballard 20' goal
  • Dominic Ballard 34' goal
  • Dominic Ballard 39' goal
  • Tyler Obling 46' yellowcard
  • Jayden Meghoma 88' yellowcard
  • Tyler Obling 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Tommi O'Reilly 18'
  • yellowcard Josh Feeney 19'
  • goal Omari Kellyman 26'
  • goal Omari Kellyman 36'
  • yellowcard Travis Patterson 83'

Southampton Under-21s vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Aug 13, 2023 12.30pm
Newcastle U21s 5 - 3 Saints U21s
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Luke Pearce

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Aug 11, 2023 6.00pm
Aston Villa U21s 0 - 3 WBA U21s
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Kobei Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Southampton Under-21s 49.66% (+0.82)
Draw 21.31% (-0.24)
Aston Villa Under-21s 29.03% (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.36% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.46% (+0.78)
Under 2.5 30.54% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 48.16% (+0.92)
Under 3.5 51.84% (-0.93)
Over 4.5 29.07% (+0.83)
Under 4.5 70.93% (-0.83)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 87.11% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 12.88% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 60.71% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 39.29% (-1.09)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 78.47% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 21.52% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 45.41% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 54.59% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Southampton Under-21s 49.66%
Draw 21.31%
Aston Villa Under-21s 29.03%
Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.11% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.69% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.98% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.13% (+0.12)
4-2 @ 2.4% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.04% (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.28% (+0.08)
4-3 @ 1.23% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 49.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 2.4% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.31%
Aston Villa Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 29.03%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 17, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
  • Seb Revan 83' goal
  • goal Jay Robinson 44'
  • goal Jay Robinson 51'
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 8, 2022 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Staplewood Training Ground
  • Kami Doyle 12' goal
  • Luke Pearce 36' goal