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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
MK Dons

Sutton
1 - 1
MK Dons

Sowunmi (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gilbey (53')
Williams (71')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMK Dons
39.75% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)26.02% (-0.142 -0.14)34.23% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.516 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (0.64 0.64)50.48% (-0.64 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.563 0.56)72.41% (-0.563 -0.56)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.241 0.24)24.99% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.331 0.33)59.64% (-0.331 -0.33)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.46000000000001 0.46)28.14% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.58 0.58)63.83% (-0.581 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.75%
    MK Dons 34.23%
    Draw 26.01%
Sutton UnitedDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 39.75%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.23%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
MK Dons
1-0
Sutton
Grant (41')
rhs 2.0


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