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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 39.75% ( | 26.02% ( | 34.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( | 50.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( | 72.41% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( | 24.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( | 59.64% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( | 28.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( | 63.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.23% |