League One Gameweek 7
Port Vale
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
Burton Albion
  • Ben Garrity 40' goal
  • Mitch Clark 64' yellowcard
  • Connor Ripley 70' yellowcard
  • Oliver Arblaster 86' goal
  • goal Beryly Lubala 11'
  • yellowcard Sam Hughes 17'
  • goal Steve Seddon 51'
  • goal Kwadwo Baah 61'
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 75'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 90'

Port Vale vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Barnsley 2 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 49.6% ▲ (+5.01)
Draw 25.51% ▼ (-0.86)
Burton Albion 24.88% ▼ (-4.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% ▼ (-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.18% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 2.5 52.82% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 3.5 25.56% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 3.5 74.44% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 4.5 11.72% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 4.5 88.28% ▼ (-0.42)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 78.69% ▲ (+2.61)
Under 0.5 21.31% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 1.5 45.74% ▲ (+3.88)
Under 1.5 54.26% ▼ (-3.88)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 63.78% ▼ (-2.96)
Under 0.5 36.22% ▲ (+2.96)
Over 1.5 26.99% ▼ (-3.13)
Under 1.5 73.01% ▲ (+3.13)

Score analysis

Port Vale 49.6%
Draw 25.5%
Burton Albion 24.89%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.93% ▲ (+0.55)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.41)
2-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+1.09)
3-1 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.56)
3-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.88)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.34)
4-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.45)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 49.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% ▼ (-0.42)
0-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.5%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.92)
1-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.75)
0-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.84)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.45)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.43)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.89%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 37
Port Vale
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
Burton Albion
  • Ellis Harrison 2' goal
  • Jamie Proctor 80' goal
  • goal Dale Taylor 8'
  • goal Jonny Smith 48'
  • goal Dale Taylor 67'
League One Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale
  • goal Ben Garrity 49'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 90'+1'
FA Cup
Burton Albion
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Port Vale
  • Ryan Leak 23' goal
  • Conor Shaughnessy 88' yellowcard
  • goal Dennis Politic 79'
  • goal Dennis Politic 82'
EFL Cup Gameweek 1
Port Vale
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Burton Albion
  • James Gibbons 43' yellowcard
  • Mark Cullen 53' goal
  • Richie Bennett 83' yellowcard
  • David Amoo 92' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Boyce 9'
  • goal Scott Fraser 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas Akins 79'
  • yellowcard Colin Daniel 91'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 5
Port Vale
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
Burton Albion
  • Mitchell Clark 63' yellowcard
  • Ricky Miller 65' goal
  • Ricky Miller 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damien McCrory 48'
League One
Port Vale
Mar 19, 2016 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Burton Albion
  • Richard Duffy 45' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Akins 34'
  • goal Antony Grant 45' (OG)
  • goal Mark Duffy 50'
  • goal Calum Butcher 60'

Form Data

Port Vale 1 - 0 Northampton
Port Vale 1 - 0 Crewe
Oxford Utd 1 - 2 Port Vale
Port Vale 0 - 0 Crewe
Port Vale 1 - 0 Carlisle
Charlton 2 - 3 Port Vale
Barnsley 2 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Exeter
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Bolton
Wycombe 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Shrewsbury 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 3 Derby