League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 1
Peterborough

Gibson (90+6')
Back (76'), Moxon (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Edwards (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Peterborough United
31.78% ( -0.45)	24.9% ( -0.2)	43.32% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

0.73)

46.25% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46% (

0.68)

68.55% (

-0.68)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

0.07)

27.63% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

0.09)

63.16% (

-0.09)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

0.61)

21.38% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

0.93)

54.36% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 31.78%

Peterborough United 43.32%

Draw 24.9%

Carlisle United	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.78%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.32%