EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 2
Forest U21s

Robinson (85'), Butterworth (86'), Plange (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (69'), Perry (77')
McAdam (90+7')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Newcastle U21s 1-1 Forest U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
54.16% ( 0.33)	23.17% ( 0.2)	22.67% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 55.02% (

-1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.78% (

-1.46)

45.22% (

1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.44% (

-1.41)

67.56% (

1.41)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.39% (

-0.41)

16.61% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.57% (

-0.73)

46.43% (

0.73)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.98% (

-1.28)

34.02% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.29% (

-1.4)

70.71% (

1.4)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 54.16%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 22.67%

Draw 23.16%

Carlisle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.67%