League One

League One | Gameweek 14

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
2 - 1
Northampton

Charles (8'), Williams (16')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoskins (66')
Hondermarck (86')

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Northampton Town
49.27% ( -0.06)	23.99% ( -0.03)	26.74% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.93% (

0.21)

45.07% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.58% (

0.2)

67.42% (

-0.2)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.62% (

0.06)

18.38% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

0.1)

49.52% (

-0.1)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44% (

0.18)

30.55% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

0.21)

66.78% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 49.27%

Northampton Town 26.74%

Draw 23.99%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Northampton Town
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.27%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 26.74%