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Max Bird
14'
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Conor Washington
22'
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Max Bird
32'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
49'
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Conor Washington
57'
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Patrick Brough
2'
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Akin Odimayo
71'
Derby County vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Derby County Goals
Northampton Town Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39%
4-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.76%
0-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.06%
Head to Head
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Andre Wisdom
28'
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Duane Holmes
35'
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Jack Marriott
51'
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Wayne Rooney
77'
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Nicky Adams
47'
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Ryan Watson
55'
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Sam Hoskins
84'
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Ryan Watson
93'
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Jayden Bogle
81'
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Marc Richards
18'
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Johnny Russell
32'