League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
1 - 1
Derby

Street (39')
Bradbury (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nelson (45+7')

Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Derby
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Derby County
16.47% ( 0.06)	21.83% ( 0.01)	61.7% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.91% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

0.03)

48.16% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

0.03)

70.32% (

-0.03)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.6% (

0.09)

42.4% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.22% (

0.08)

78.78% (

-0.08)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.91% (

-0.01)

15.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.38% (

-0.02)

43.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 16.47%

Derby County 61.69%

Draw 21.83%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 16.47%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.83%	0-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 61.69%