League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Bloomfield Road

Blackpool
1 - 3
Derby

Dougall (73')
Connolly (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (54'), Collins (71'), Waghorn (89')
Forsyth (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Derby County
34.67% ( -0.22)	26.95% ( 0.07)	38.39% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 50.97% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

-0.3)

54.25% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

-0.25)

75.65% (

0.25)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

-0.28)

29.72% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

-0.35)

65.78% (

0.35)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

-0.05)

27.48% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02% (

-0.07)

62.98% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Blackpool 34.67%

Derby County 38.38%

Draw 26.95%

Blackpool	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.67%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.38%