/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fblalo.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Callum Connolly
30'
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Kenneth Dougall
73'
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Craig Forsyth
32'
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Korey Smith
54'
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James Collins
71'
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Martyn Waghorn
89'
Blackpool vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Blackpool
34.67%
▼
(-0.22)
Draw
26.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Derby County
38.39%
▲
(+0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
50.97%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.75%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 2.5
54.25%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
24.35%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
75.65%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
10.95%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
89.05%
▲
(+0.16)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5
70.28%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
29.72%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
34.22%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
65.78%
▲
(+0.35)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
72.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
27.48%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
37.02%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
62.98%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Blackpool
34.67%
Draw
26.95%
Derby County
38.38%
Blackpool
1-0
@
9.91%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 34.67%
2-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 34.67%
Draw
1-1
@
12.8%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.95%
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.95%
Derby County
0-1
@
10.54%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 38.38%
1-2 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 38.38%