League One Gameweek 11
Cheltenham
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Fleetwood
  • Rob Street 55' yellowcard
  • Lewis Freestone 65' yellowcard
  • Curtis Davies 70' redcard
  • yellowcard Promise Omochere 9'
  • goal Junior Quitirna 19'
  • yellowcard Bosun Lawal 39'
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 59'
  • yellowcard Ryan Broom 72'
  • goal Jack Marriott 79'
  • yellowcard Jayden Stockley 90'+9'

Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Lincoln 2 - 0 Cheltenham
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Liam Sercombe

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 0 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jayden Stockley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result

Cheltenham Town 25.2% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 24.44% ▲ (+0.11)
Fleetwood Town 50.36% ▼ (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.78% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 48.22% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 3.5 29.63% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 70.37% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 4.5 14.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 85.59% ▲ (+0.13)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 33.46% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 29.91% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 70.09% ▼ (-0.16)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 80.84% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 19.17% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 49.17% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 50.83% ▲ (+0.40)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 25.2%
Draw 24.43%
Fleetwood Town 50.36%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.43%
Fleetwood Town
0-1 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.36%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 35
Cheltenham
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Fleetwood
  • Alfie May 56' goal
League One Gameweek 4
Fleetwood
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Highbury Stadium
Cheltenham
  • Josh Vela 35' yellowcard
  • Danny Andrew 60' yellowcard
  • Shaun Rooney 68' yellowcard
  • Cian Hayes 81' yellowcard
  • Josh Earl 90'+6' yellowcard
  • 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Joe Garner 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 36'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 82'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adshead 90'
League One Gameweek 33
Cheltenham
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Fleetwood
  • Alfie May 41' goal
  • Charlie Raglan 45' goal
  • Ben Williams 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 48'
  • yellowcard Cian Hayes 87'
League One Gameweek 4
Fleetwood
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Cheltenham
  • Tom Clarke 33' goal
  • Darnell Johnson 81' goal
  • Shayden Morris 90' goal
  • Callum Morton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wright 8'
  • yellowcard Charlie Raglan 36'
  • yellowcard Conor Thomas 46'
  • yellowcard Callum Wright 83'
  • yellowcard Chris Hussey 86'
  • goal Alfie May 87'
League Two
Cheltenham
Apr 18, 2014 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Fleetwood
  • Jamie Cureton 32' goal
  • Matt Richards 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Blair 11'
  • yellowcard Stephen Jordan 47'
  • goal Antoni Sarcevic 55'
  • goal Josh Morris 65'
  • yellowcard Chris Maxwell 90'
League Two
Fleetwood
Dec 21, 2013 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Cheltenham
  • Conor McLaughlin 52' yellowcard
  • goal Troy Brown 1'
  • yellowcard Connor Goldson 62'
  • goal Jermaine McGlashan 93'

Form Data

Lincoln 2 - 0 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 0 - 3 Stevenage
Peterborough 3 - 0 Cheltenham
Exeter 1 - 0 Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers 4 - 1 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 0 - 2 Barnsley
Fleetwood 1 - 0 Leyton Orient
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Fleetwood 0 - 3 Oxford Utd
Fleetwood 2 - 0 Tranmere
Charlton 2 - 1 Fleetwood
Fleetwood 0 - 1 Shrewsbury