/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fstelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
-
Jordan Roberts
32'
-
Alex MacDonald
45'+2'
-
Jamie Reid
59'
-
Carl Piergianni
71'
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Kane Hemmings
84'
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Eiran Cashin
11'
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Craig Forsyth
30'
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
38'
Stevenage vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result
Stevenage
31.88%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
27.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Derby County
40.74%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
49%
Goals
Over 2.5
43.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
56.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
22.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
77.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
9.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
90.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5
67.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
32.68%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
30.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
69.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
72.79%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
27.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
37.38%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
62.61%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Stevenage
31.88%
Draw
27.38%
Derby County
40.73%
Stevenage
1-0
@
9.94%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.88%
2-1 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.88%
Draw
1-1
@
12.94%
0-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.38%
0-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.38%
Derby County
0-1
@
11.57%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.73%
1-2 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.73%