EFL Trophy
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-
Junior Morias
78'
-
Charlie Gill
90'+3'
-
Louie Sibley
20'
-
Craig Forsyth
45'+2'
-
Louie Sibley
57'
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Eiran Cashin
66'
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James Collins
78'
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Louie Sibley
83'
Notts County vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result
Notts County
40.9%
▼
(-2.34)
Draw
23.37%
▲
(+0.07)
Derby County
35.73%
▲
(+2.29)
Both Teams to Score:
63.67%
▲
(+0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.07%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
37.93%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
39.81%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
60.19%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 4.5
21.99%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 4.5
78.01%
▼
(-0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5
81.02%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 0.5
18.98%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 1.5
49.48%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 1.5
50.52%
▲
(+1.51)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
78.58%
▲
(+1.34)
Under 0.5
21.42%
▼
(-1.33)
Over 1.5
45.58%
▲
(+2.01)
Under 1.5
54.42%
▼
(-2.01)
Score analysis
Notts County
40.9%
Draw
23.36%
Derby County
35.73%
Notts County
2-1
@
8.65%
▼
(-0.26)
1-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.32)
4-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 40.9%
1-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.32)
4-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 40.9%
Draw
1-1
@
10.4%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.36%
2-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.36%
Derby County
1-2
@
8.02%
▲
(+0.31)
0-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.32)
1-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.32)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.26)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.18)
2-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 35.73%
0-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.32)
1-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.32)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.26)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.18)
2-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 35.73%
Head to Head
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Eiran Cashin
42'
-
Tom Lawrence
86'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Kane Hemmings
75'
-
Luke Thomas
2'
-
Luke Thomas
36'
-
Mason Bennett
57'
-
Tom Huddlestone
83'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Trialist
30'
-
Chris Martin
40'
-
Chris Martin
52'
-
Chris Martin
76'