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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Notts County |
| 22.89% ( | 22.63% ( | 54.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( | 42.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.01% ( | 64.99% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( | 32.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% ( | 68.88% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( | 15.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.47% ( | 44.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 3-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 22.89% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0-3 @ 5.4% ( 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0-4 @ 2.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.48% |