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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Notts County

Colchester
5 - 4
Notts County

Chilvers (10'), Fevrier (31'), Read (38', 74'), McGeehan (58')
Egbo (21'), Tovide (68'), McGeehan (72'), Goodman (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Austin (21'), Langstaff (48', 90+2'), Jones (67')
McGoldrick (14'), Baldwin (37'), Cameron (54')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawNotts County
22.89% (-0.058 -0.06)22.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.47% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)42.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.99% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)32.37% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)68.88% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (0.010000000000005 0.01)15.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)44.52% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 22.89%
    Notts County 54.48%
    Draw 22.63%
Colchester UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 5.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 22.89%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.72% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 5.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 54.48%

How you voted: Colchester vs Notts County

Colchester United
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Notts County
100%
5
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Colchester
3-3
Notts County
Szmodics (8'), Mandron (45'), Pell (67' pen.)
Pell (90')
Stead (16'), Jones (19'), Dennis (32')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Notts County
0-0
Colchester
Jones (24'), Duffy (45'), Vaughan (74'), Hewitt (80')
Pell (64'), Jackson (86')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Notts County
Wright (9')
Forte (51'), Ameobi (69'), Duffy (76')
Virtue-Thick (52'), Stead (82'), Hewitt (86')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Colchester
Ameobi (68' pen.), Yates (90')
Tootle (10'), Duffy (64'), Ameobi (74'), Grant (77')
Odelusi (89')
Mandron (67'), Jackson (74'), Kent (84')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Notts County
3-1
Colchester
Hollis (8'), Ameobi (34', 73')
Milsom (33')
Porter (21')
Elokobi (31')