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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Colchester United

Crewe
2 - 1
Colchester

Long (3', 8' pen.)
Demetriou (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tovide (53')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Crewe
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-5 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawColchester United
33.98% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)25.81%40.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 33.98%
    Colchester United 40.2%
    Draw 25.81%
Crewe AlexandraDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.98%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.2%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
4-0
Crewe
Akinde (24', 28'), Chilvers (40'), Tovide (55')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Agyei (80')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
P-P
Crewe
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
0-0
Colchester
Lowery (71'), Pickering (80'), Hunt (95')
Comley (45'), Eastman (83')
Robinson (95')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Kirk (48'), Nolan (87')
Wintle (54'), Kirk (79')
Szmodics (11')
Nouble (42'), Szmodics (80')