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Championship header 2

League Two

Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Crewe Alexandra

Forest Green
1 - 4
Crewe

Brown (35')
Deeney (46'), Robson (53'), Bunker (68'), Johnson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Long (49'), Baker-Richardson (60', 69'), Nevitt (82')
Tabiner (11'), Offord (18'), O'Riordan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, September 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
30.74% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)26.08% (-0.058 -0.06)43.18% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (0.2 0.2)51.7% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (0.175 0.18)73.47% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.043000000000006 0.04)31.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)67.37% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (0.15599999999999 0.16)23.78% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (0.226 0.23)57.94% (-0.228 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 30.74%
    Crewe Alexandra 43.18%
    Draw 26.07%
Forest Green RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.62% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.18%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Crewe
P-P
Forest Green
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Forest Green
0-0
Crewe
Kitching (44'), Rawson (49'), Mills (66')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
4-3
Forest Green
Porter (19'), Mills (63' og.), Kirk (87', 89')
Hunt (81'), Kirk (90')
Brown (36'), Mondal (47'), Doidge (52')
Gunning (52'), Brown (61'), Mills (89'), Reid (95')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Forest Green
1-0
Crewe
Mills (45')
Montgomery (55'), Rawson (87'), Campbell (89')

Jones (90')
Mar 20, 2018 7.45pm
Crewe
3-1
Forest Green
Bowery (44', 61'), Kirk (59')
Pickering (30'), Green (72'), Lowery (78')
Grubb (64')