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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 29.33% ( | 25.29% ( | 45.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( | 49.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( | 71.13% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( | 30.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( | 66.96% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( | 21.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% ( | 54.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 3-0 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.33% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.37% |