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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 41.96% ( | 26.69% ( | 31.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( | 53.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( | 75.37% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( | 25.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( | 60.19% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( | 31.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( | 68.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.36% |